Seven by seven
With seven weeks to go to election day, the BC Liberals have an 11-point lead in the polls, Gordon Campbell is on the Rick Mercer Report, and Carole James has a candidate who hates "Zionists."
All signs are pointing to the re-election of the Campbell government, but will that include zero, one, two, three or four Burnaby Liberal MLAs?
All signs are pointing to the re-election of the Campbell government, but will that include zero, one, two, three or four Burnaby Liberal MLAs?
posted by Robert Burnaby at 9:08 PM
14 Comments:
I do not think that will be the case at all.
In 2000, Al Gore led the polls by 10 points weeks before election, in 2004 John Kerry led the polls by 10 points before election.
The polls are an indication that people do not want to vote for BCNDP. I however will say that a 5 point flip will give BCNDP the victory.
Trust me, Burnaby is the battle ground riding. Out of the 10 ridings BCNDP want to flip, three of them are in Burnaby, some in Vancouver. The Kingsway "belt" will be the deciding factor for the next election. And my money is on Carole James, it is time for Gordon Campbell to go.
I'd say 1 maybe 2 ridings in Burnaby will be BC Liberal.
Richard is re-elected but by a slim majority.
Anyone who figures a BC Liberal in each of the four ridings is hallucinating badly.
Bby Edmonds is returned to Raj Chouhan.
Bby deer Lake goes to Kathy Corrigan but not with a big majority vote. John loses over his bad stickhandling of the remand centre issue.
Burnaby has always been a battleground area. The city is littered with the remains of those who tried to take on strong opposition candidates and lost after a long and brutal fight.
The BC Liberals are good when it comes to economics, but are abysmal on people related issues.
The current poll is just a dip in opinion on the day it was taken.
Polls will change. The next important one is on the day before the election begins.
If Carole James is elected premier BC will go back to being the basket case we were with Glen Clark and that was when the world economy was good.
The NDP being in power in these times would result in BC getting back in the garbage heap.
BC's been in the garbage heap right now.
Look around dude. The Coastal Forest Industry is pretty much gone, a few major development projects have gone pffft. Even Kevin Falcon's parternship deal for the Port Mann has gone pfft.
Wouldn't want the NDP back myself, but who would want another 4 years of an arrogant Premier backed up by blindly loyal fools who don't want to tell him he's wrong when the public tells them he is.
The NDP has most likely learned their lessons, something that the BC Liberals have yet to do on many things.
We'll start with Campbell's promise in 2001 not to sell off BC Rail.
The #1 issue for voters in this election is the economy. Local issues aren't important when people fear losing their jobs or going out of business.
I predict Burnaby stays the same with 3 liberals re-elected and NDP-Raj keeping Edmonds.
The only chance NDP had to gain was in Burnaby North, but the NDP chose the most garbage candidate ever to enter politics, some weirdo who works at a Telus help desk.
Gordon Campbell made a huge mistake when he decided to put a remand centre in Burnaby. That's going to hurt the Liberals in the coming election. Kathy Corrigan stands a very strong chance in Burnaby-Deer Lake, which though the wealthiest riding in Burnaby and traditionally the safest Liberal seat is the one most hurt by the proposed remand centre. John Nuraney started off by ignoring the controversy, but in recent months his flip-flops have been incredible. I don't think he can hold the seat.
Raj is a very popular candidate in his riding, and even without this remand centre issue would have been re-elected. Because he's taking centre stage and opposing the prison at every turn, he's probably more of a household name than ever. Burnaby-Edmonds will be easy for them.
Mondee Redman has also been working against the remand centre in Burnaby. Her riding borders Burnaby-Deer Lake, and she has been out gathering signatures for the petitions and writing public letters opposing the remand centre. Richard T Lee has been completely silent on the issue, wisely leaving it completely to John Nuraney, but never addresing the concerns of Burnaby residents. I think that will hurt him as well. Burnaby North will be more of a fight than Edmonds or Deer Lake, but considering that the NDP only lost by 65 votes in the last election I think Redman can take it.
I predict that the NDP will hang on to Burnaby-Edmonds and gain at least two more seats in Burnaby.
I am sick of Nuraney and the opportunistic Corrigan's.
I am voting for the Green candidate.
Only a sick person would vote for Bruce Friesen, the Green candidate.
FEARMONGERING RULES!
"North America is facing a downturn that's unprecedented," Rankin told the Now.
When combined with the Liberal's plan to build a new prison in Burnaby, one sees a deliberate attempt by Victoria to fuel fear and apprehension among the public.
Rankin may have done some decent things in the past, but his recent history is one of personal power grabs, and support for the failed politics of libertarianism.
Look at his comments on the oil spill - he supported Kinder Morgan. Look at his comments on the city's battle against Telus - he supported Telus.
Rankin has evolved into a libertarian. And that is a recipe for losing in Burnaby.
Rankin is no libertarian. He's mutated into the federal Liberals and then the succession of evolving stopped.
This is what happens when an NDPer evoles into something else. The evolution isn't complete it stops and you end up with this fiendish mutation.
Someone out there is freeking out
If Lee was true to being in provincial politics he would have run in 2005 in Edmonds. Probably could have taken it.
Very true. But what happens when a federal Liberal evolves into something?
The evolution can be good, or it can be hideous.
Friesen is a good example of a federal Liberal evolving and ending up as a green screeching thing.
Think of The Hulk being slim and trim...
but keeping the hideous attitude and green look.
Sad but true when political animals are removed from their original biosphere.
"Gordon Campbell made a huge mistake when he decided to put a remand centre in Burnaby. That's going to hurt the Liberals in the coming election. Kathy Corrigan stands a very strong chance in Burnaby-Deer Lake, which though the wealthiest riding in Burnaby and traditionally the safest Liberal seat is the one most hurt by the proposed remand centre."
Not bad. Good prediction.
"John Nuraney started off by ignoring the controversy, but in recent months his flip-flops have been incredible. "
Wouldn't say months, but rather days. He never wavered on the location of the remand centre until just last week.
"I don't think he can hold the seat."
He can't. The only seat he'll be able to hold is the one at one of his A & W Restaurants.
"Raj is a very popular candidate in his riding, and even without this remand centre issue would have been re-elected. Because he's taking centre stage and opposing the prison at every turn, he's probably more of a household name than ever. Burnaby-Edmonds will be easy for them."
It will be a bloodbath. Welcome to
Middlegate Maul.
"Mondee Redman has also been working against the remand centre in Burnaby."
I doubt "working" would be a word to use in regards to the remand centre. She's probably working the
shopping mall, credit card in hand.
"Her riding borders Burnaby-Deer Lake, and she has been out gathering signatures for the petitions and writing public letters opposing the remand centre."
Not bad. Also gets her name out as well.
"Richard T Lee has been completely silent on the issue, wisely leaving it completely to John Nuraney, but never addresing the concerns of Burnaby residents. I think that will hurt him as well."
Bad move on his part. Should have enjoined John and gone to Caucus and insist that the remand centre either be the renovated Women's Detention Centre in the Big Bend or relocated elsewhere.
"Burnaby North will be more of a fight than Edmonds or Deer Lake, but considering that the NDP only lost by 65 votes in the last election I think Redman can take it."
Burnaby Edmonds will be a fight more than Burnaby North. You have on one side, Lee Rankin who has power hungry friends and a better half who is also power hungry next to someone who is already an established incumbent representing a party that is very territorial.
Burnaby North will go to the NDP.
"I predict that the NDP will hang on to Burnaby-Edmonds and gain at least two more seats in Burnaby."
Not bad. Not bad at all.
Any idea what Friesen's stand on the remand centre is?
He should be in it. He kept stealing other people's ideas.
and who really cares what his stand is on it. It's outside of the parameters of environmental issues that the Green Party is supposed to be for.
Or at least what they stood for when they first became a viable party a while back.
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