Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Global debate

The Burnaby-Douglas candidates are on Global TV this morning for their segment in the continuing series on the morning news.

How small is the local audience for such a debate?

13 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

An overview of politics in Burnaby Douglas.

1-Greens will get their normal 1700 votes (if they run a candidate) and with any luck might get 2000 votes at best. Insignificant.

2-Conservatives can not win this seat as they wont get more than 14000-15000 votes when 17000+ votes will be needed to win. Those kind of Conservative numbers are not in the riding. The 2000 results were an anomaly back when the Reform was a protest vote with not much hope of forming government.

3-Liberals can’t muster much more than 16000 votes at best and Dion should probably peg Billy C to somewhere between Zumpano in 2000 and his result in 2006 at 13500 or so which means he will be slugging it out for second and third with the Conservatives. Sorry guys second place in an election is the first loser.

4-NDP will get in again as they should split the Liberal defections with the Conservatives and possibly get 18000 or even 19000 votes.

Conservative voters in the riding should strategically vote NDP as they have never won this seat (and wont) and an NDP victory in Burnaby Douglas in a Conservative Minority is better than a Liberal victory which might chip away at the Conservative minority numbers nationally. That said, as per above a Liberal victory shouldn’t happen but Conservatives in Burnaby Douglas should probably hold their nose and vote NDP just in case.

The only thing that might affect the expected results is if someone finds a picture of one of the candidates in a compromising position with a sheep which might hurt or help the affected candidate(s) in this whacko riding.

Past results.


2000/11/27 ROBINSON, Svend parliamentarian 17,018 N.D.P.
MCDONNELL, Alan electrical technologist 15,057 CA
ZUMPANO, Francesca administrator 10,774 Lib
KING, Kenneth Edgar surveyor 2,477 P.C.


2004/06/28 SIKSAY, Bill parliamentary assistant 15,682 N.D.P.
CUNNINGHAM, Bill commercial banker 14,748 Lib
DRAZENOVIC, George accountant 12,531 C
HUNSDALE, Shawn student 1,687 G.P.


2006/01/23 SIKSAY, Bill parliamentarian 17,323 N.D.P.
CUNNINGHAM, Bill banker 16,079 Lib
DRAZENOVIC, George accountant 13,467 C
POWER, Ray businessman 1,694 G.P.

9/16/2008 8:49 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'd be interested to know which of the candidates would actualy be helped by the sheep. That's a very "ass-toot" political comment, oh great and wise prognosticator.

9/16/2008 12:04 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Conservative voters in the riding should strategically vote NDP as they have never won this seat (and wont)......."
Right....But I think that alone just about destroyed your credibility of your post.

"1-Greens will get their normal 1700 vote
2-Conservatives can not win this seat as they wont get more than 14000-15000 votes
3-Liberals can’t muster much more than 16000 votes
4-NDP will get in again as they should split the Liberal defections with the Conservatives and possibly get 18000 or even 19000 votes. "

Speculation that can create a NDP win scenario, I think even my kid in the kindergarten can do it.

Let's say NDP get 20000, I mean, it's possible, and liberal and conservatives will have 15000 apiece. What about 16000, 17000, I mean, the winter is getting nicer ya?

Thanks for your prediction, the prophet blogger. But I sure am glad that this is the what typical NDP voters are telling themselves. Unfortunately, to say that NDP will get 20000 guranteed and predict that only fools would take this as a battleground ridings, I say, is too premature.

Dr. Leung has the necessary firepower to unseat Bill Siksay and that is already granted. What we need is not some baseless "prediction". Rather, reasons to let Bill Siksay represent the riding another term. Looks to me, NDP is running out of schemes and fumes in the riding. I predict a win for Dr. Leung.

9/16/2008 3:53 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Dr. Leung has the necessary firepower to unseat Bill Siksay and that is already granted."

Never take anything for granted in politics.

"What we need is not some baseless "prediction"."


I predict a win for Dr. Leung."

Kind of being hypcritical there isn't it?

9/16/2008 4:18 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dr. Leung has the necessary firepower to unseat Bill Siksay and that is already granted.

---------------------------------

Firepower doesn't win elections.

Hard work, having rapport with the voters in your riding and having political experience does. He cant possibly put these factors together in under a month.

If Leung thinks that he can he will have a rude awakening right after the polls close.

9/16/2008 9:08 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

From zero to hero in 26 days?

Very difficult to achieve.

9/16/2008 10:02 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

what is this "experience" and "grassroots" BS that NDP hacks keep throwing around?

as far as i'm concerned, here's my view of the major Burnaby-Douglas candidates:

Bill Siksay: never had to get a real job for over 20 years. (that's what "experience" amounts to when you're a career politician or "constituency assistant" - and don't even get me started on "grassroots")

Bill Cunningham: likes to show off his connections with bigshot Liberals and remind people that he's a sleazy douchebag who resorts to "social networking" all his life instead of earning something with his own two hands.

Ronald Leung: on a personal level, it's not hard to be a breath of fresh air on the federal scene in Burnaby-Douglas when your main opponents are the two aforementioned individuals!

whew. letting that out felt good.

9/16/2008 10:29 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"If Leung thinks that he can he will have a rude awakening right after the polls close."

Right, I mean, with Bill Cunningham working so hard put together a winning strategy over the past century, he probably will win the election after all, and the sun will finally rise from the west.

Another NDP hacker daydreaming. From incumbent to zero in 26 days, THAT, my friend, will be something.

9/16/2008 10:56 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

whew. letting that out felt good.

We're glad.

Be whatever it was that caused you to it let out has surely stunk up this place.

9/16/2008 11:24 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What's all this garbage about Dr. Leung. Check his website.

Says nothing about being a doctor. Only that he is a radio talk show host and businessman.

9/16/2008 11:25 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

everyone on this blog is very 'ass-toot'

9/17/2008 10:55 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

no butts about it.

In fact, we're getting a bit behind on that.

9/17/2008 12:32 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If Leung wants to win this riding, maybe he should start showing up at some all-candidates meetings...how can you trust a guy we have never heard of who apparently won;t even show up to discuss issues and answer questions? Doesn't make me want to have him represent me - I suspect he would be representing his own (and from what I have been able to find out, EXTREME) agenda. No thank you.

10/08/2008 8:42 PM  

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