Nuraney nominated
It was a mere formality for the BC Liberals' Incumbent Acclaimation Tour '09 when John Nuraney was named as the candidate in Burnaby-Deer Lake.
This is Nuraney's fourth time seeking provincial office. After a defeat in 1996 to Joan Sawicki in Burnaby-Willingdon, Nuraney won the seat both in 2001 and 2005. Nuraney also ran for Burnaby council in 1996 as part of the Burnaby Voters Association.
Nuraney will face NDP candidate Kathy Corrigan and Green candidate G. Bruce Friesen in May 12's election.
This is Nuraney's fourth time seeking provincial office. After a defeat in 1996 to Joan Sawicki in Burnaby-Willingdon, Nuraney won the seat both in 2001 and 2005. Nuraney also ran for Burnaby council in 1996 as part of the Burnaby Voters Association.
Nuraney will face NDP candidate Kathy Corrigan and Green candidate G. Bruce Friesen in May 12's election.
posted by Robert Burnaby at 5:52 PM
18 Comments:
Congratulations, with the new make-up of the constituents, this is easily the easiest riding for BCLIB to defend. With friends like Bruce Friesen, what other enemies does NDP need.
I expect a comfortable margin of defeat for Kathy Corrigan who is only celebrated by the inner circles of NDP but lack over-all appeal to the constituents.
Must have been a real tough one for Nurnaney, especially on that much needed second ballot support.
His main competition will be Kathi Corrigan. But she is going to have a challenge since the NDP does not prove successful when it comes to economics.
Friesen is nothing but a cheap joke at the expense of the Green Party. Homelessness is not really
a Green Party basic foundation. Their foundation is the preservation of the biosphereic
envronment. If Friesen is so solid on homelessness why doesn't he take in a homless person himself?
John despite his abysmal constituency association that doesn't do very much, should re-take the riding, but it won't be by a huge majority.
The only thing that could happen is Friesen takes away votes from the BC Liberals and Corrigan wins the riding.
That's what happened in Burnaby Edmonds in 2005.
What do you think are the chances of Richard T. Lee versus Mondee Redmond? And will Lee be contested for his nomination, or acclaimed like Nuraney?
I expect Lee to also defend his seat. The western part of Burnaby has always been the wealthier part of Burnaby, with less margin than Nuraney. And the impressive turnout against NDP in the federal election is very much an evidence that NDP has little traction in the north part of Burnaby. Lee's riding in the federal election were voting for Ronald Leung in almost a landslide against Bill Siksay. This riding is a safe seat for BCLIB. The concern has always been though if Mondee is someone who is fresh, but it looks to me that Mondee has nothing that independents/moderates can vote for against an incumbent. Should be an easy win.
And Ron Burton has decided to take a step back against Harry Bloy who will now face a challenger who will be a loyal NDP member, either a labour lawyer or a union leader.
NDP is buying into this myth that motivating the core voters will give them a win. Yes, core voters are very important without them no one can get elected. But they continue to be ignorant of the key voters that can win these swing ridings. The candidates so far belong to the very old structure of NDP had NDP decided to run another Chinese Gabriel Yiu against Richard Lee, they might have a chance. But if this is the sort of hand NDP wants to play, especially in Burnaby Lougheed, do not expect any Greens to be backing you any time soon.
Another defensive play by NDP who is trying to cling on to power with its 33% support base. I encourage BCGRN to run against NDP labour activist as
well in Burnaby Lougheed riding.
"What do you think are the chances of Richard T. Lee versus Mondee Redmond? And will Lee be contested for his nomination, or acclaimed like Nuraney?"
The simple answer is that the BC Liberals will covertly not allow anyone to contest Lee's nomination since he is an incumbent.
Richard did not win a huge majority and the NDP (despite their weak candidate) will put in a strong showing. It does not matter whether Siskay had his vote count reduced and whether Ronald Leung plays in somehow.
The NDP will strike vulnerable seats and Richard's despite what silliness is coming from the BC Liberals in this blog, is one of them.
It will be interesting to see if Richard gets re-elected.
I expect Lee to also defend his seat.
Why wouldn't he?
The western part of Burnaby has always been the wealthier part of Burnaby, with less margin than Nuraney.
Partially true, but the northwest part has strong NDP suport, while
the middle half including Brentwood
is more aligned towards the BC Liberals.
And the impressive turnout against NDP in the federal election is very much an evidence that NDP has little traction in the north part of Burnaby.
Wrong. It doesn't factor in since there were two different parties
and essentially it is splitting the same overall base of provincial support. The NDP has lost some of their vote count federally but have won provincially in this riding in the past.
Lee's riding in the federal election were voting for Ronald Leung in almost a landslide against Bill Siksay.
No it wasn't.
This riding is a safe seat for BCLIB.
With a 65 vote majority for Lee in the last election? You've got to be joking, right?
The concern has always been though if Mondee is someone who is fresh, but it looks to me that Mondee has nothing that independents/moderates can vote for against an incumbent. Should be an easy win.
Never assume that any riding is
"an easy win" unless you're in
strongholds such as Vancouver East seats or seats in the Fraser Valley.
None of the seats in Burnaby have ever been considered "easy wins".
And Ron Burton has decided to take a step back against Harry Bloy who will now face a challenger who will be a loyal NDP member, either a labour lawyer or a union leader.
Don't why this thing about Ron Burton keeps coming up. He has made is choice - not to get in on the provincial action. Why not leave it at that and move on?
If Harry faces a good competition from the NDP, so what? He needs it,
he's had the benifit of a weak NDP candidate for the past two elections and his arrogance is a product of that.
NDP is buying into this myth that motivating the core voters will give them a win.
Well so do the BC Liberals with their core voter base. Is that too a myth?
Yes, core voters are very important without them no one can get elected. But they continue to be ignorant of the key voters that can win these swing ridings. The candidates so far belong to the very old structure of NDP had NDP decided to run another Chinese Gabriel Yiu against Richard Lee, they might have a chance.
Give it a rest, Sherlock. The main aspect of this election will be economics, not specifically any one ethnic group. We've been down this road before during the last election.
But if this is the sort of hand NDP wants to play, especially in Burnaby Lougheed, do not expect any Greens to be backing you any time soon.
Why would they?
Another defensive play by NDP who is trying to cling on to power with its 33% support base. I encourage BCGRN to run against NDP labour activist as
well in Burnaby Lougheed riding.
So go and tell them.
The Green Party has issued a press release chastizing the Liberals for the new Port Mann Bridge.
I suspect this will be an issue in Burnaby.
Why are they building a 10-lane bridge that feeds into a six-lane highway?
What's up with that?
And what will the NDP do about it?
And why does the Burnay Now call this one of the "most interesting" battles in the eleciton, yet fail to mention the Green candidate???
Is that bias?
The News Leader makes the same omission. Get used to it, Greenie!
But there is a story about the NDP candidates in Lougheed.
And guess what????
No mention of Ron Burton.
Robert Burnaby is an unreliable blogger!
Blogs are not exactly the most reliable resource out there.
Most including this one are places of junkyard opinion.
"And guess what????
No mention of Ron Burton.
Robert Burnaby is an unreliable blogger!"
With NDP trailing the poll by double digits, even President Obamas would not want to run with BCNDP. And that is exactly the reason now you have a labour activist vs. a labour lawyer in the nomination meeting.
BCNDP knows that education will not be the issue and Kathy Corrigan I am afraid will lose in a landslide against John Nuraney if voters decide to base their choices solely on the issue of economy. An unfortunate riding at an unfortunate time, Kathy Corrigan may have to go back her career of homemaking as she did before her husband propelled her to the chair of school board.
With NDP trailing the poll by double digits, even President Obamas would not want to run with BCNDP.
That's a pretty dumb statement to make, since:
(a) Obama is a U.S. citizen and he would have to be Canadian in order to run.
(b) The Democrats are pretty much
equivalent to either Red Tories or light red federal Liberals.
And that is exactly the reason now you have a labour activist vs. a labour lawyer in the nomination meeting.
??
BCNDP knows that education will not be the issue and Kathy Corrigan I am afraid will lose in a landslide against John Nuraney if voters decide to base their choices solely on the issue of economy.
Actually with this deficit budget coming, education (along with health) will most definately could
be an issue. Who says that it won't be?
The NDP doesn't figure in economics, but they do well in social issues such as education and health care.
An unfortunate riding at an unfortunate time, Kathy Corrigan may have to go back her career of homemaking as she did before her husband propelled her to the chair of school board.
What makes you think Derek did that?
She most likely did that on her own.
She will most likely lose, unless the BC Liberals and John Nuraney do something dumb during the campaign (Gordon Campbell did something dumb in the 1996 election and it cost him the victory and the province had to go through yet another 4 years of NDP because of his dumb errors).
But she will certainly get alot more votes that that joke of a candidate for the Green Party.
"(a) Obama is a U.S. citizen and he would have to be Canadian in order to run.
(b) The Democrats are pretty much
equivalent to either Red Tories or light red federal Liberals."
I think everyone does that realize though I have to argue that with a trillion dollar spending plan, Democrats are making the BCNDP in our "lost decade" like bunch of elementary pupils. Though the point is, it will not matter what kind of SUV Carole James drives or others, the only way for NDP to recover from this double digit disadvantage is to do well on the issue of economy. When the democrats have a deep pool of economists backing their economic plan, it is difficult to foresee the same thing for BCNDP, as many have pointed out are very much far left of the democrats.
And Ron Burton certainly is not ready to go into defeat as Kathy Corrigan whose seat on the school board is always open. In a swing riding like Burnaby, I expect to see this double digit lead manifesting itself onto the vote count, especially seeing how all four of the candidates will be pretty much the old type of NDP candidates that does not inspire support from independents. I expect Kathy Corrigan to have the same difficulty convincing the independents, especially given the lack of credibility on economics.
think everyone does that realize though I have to argue that with a trillion dollar spending plan, Democrats are making the BCNDP in our "lost decade" like bunch of elementary pupils.
They are not the same equivalent to the Democrats in the United States. First factor in 10x the population of Canada, and second the U.S. does not have a significant left wing in the mainstream political arena that Canada has.
Secondly, there's no equivalent to the BC NDP in the United States.
Though the point is, it will not matter what kind of SUV Carole James drives or others, the only way for NDP to recover from this double digit disadvantage is to do well on the issue of economy. When the democrats have a deep pool of economists backing their economic plan, it is difficult to foresee the same thing for BCNDP, as many have pointed out are very much far left of the democrats.
A bit wordy, but not bad.
And Ron Burton certainly is not ready to go into defeat as Kathy Corrigan whose seat on the school board is always open. In a swing riding like Burnaby, I expect to see this double digit lead manifesting itself onto the vote count, especially seeing how all four of the candidates will be pretty much the old type of NDP candidates that does not inspire support from independents.
Why this mention of Ron Burton?? He's not even in the picture.
I expect Kathy Corrigan to have the same difficulty convincing the independents, especially given the lack of credibility on economics.
Possible, but if the election shifts to social issues such as education and health/welfare because of the upcoming budget, watch out. That is the NDP's balliwick and even though economics dominated in the early 1980's the NDP gained alot ground in 1983, almost winning that election.
"even though economics dominated in the early 1980's the NDP gained alot ground in 1983, almost winning that election."
Go back and check your history books.
In the recession/mini-depression of 1983, the Socreds gained in both the popular vote as well as seats at the expense of the NDP.
This is interesting
And I thought the local paper was a pro-union rag
Or maybe I'm missing the context.
http://communities.canada.com/vannet/blogs/fromtheeditorsdesk/archive/2009/02/03/a-matter-of-context.aspx
Go back and check your history books.
In the recession/mini-depression of 1983, the Socreds gained in both the popular vote as well as seats at the expense of the NDP.
Well go back yourself. The NDP almost gained alot of ground during the first two weeks of that campaign. What turned it around was Barrett stating that he would get rid of the Restraint program if elected.
What you are seeing is the end result of the election not what happened during the elction.
Big difference.
Bill Bennett was in trouble politically during the first part of that year.
After that election, Operation Solidarity started in the fall.
A fun time. The BC Liberals have never seen anything close to that
with Gordon Campbell
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